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Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370
This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was used to define the search zone in the southern Indian Ocean. The book describes particle-filter based numerical calculation of the aircraft flight-path probability distribution and validates the method using data from several of the involved aircraft’s previous flights. Finally it is shown how the Reunion Island flaperon debris find affects the search probability distribution.
Analytical and Stochastic Modeling Techniques and Applications ; 15th International Conference, ASMTA 2008 Nicosia, Cyprus, June 4-6, 2008 Proceedings
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Analytical and Stochastic Modeling Techniques and Applications, ASMTA 2008, held in Nicosia, Cyprus, in June 2008.
Bayesian core : A practical approach to computational Bayesian statistics
This Bayesian modeling book provides an operational methodology for conducting Bayesian inference, rather than focusing on its theoretical justifications. Special attention is paid to the derivation of prior distributions in each case and specific reference solutions are given for each of the models.
