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Anticipatory Behavior in Adaptive Learning Systems : From Brains to Individual and Social Behavior
Anticipatory behavior in adaptive learning systems is steadily gaining the - terest of scientists, although many researchers still do not explicitly consider the actual anticipatory capabilities of their systems.The introductory chapter of this volume therefore does not only provide an overview of the contributions included in this volume but also proposes a taxonomy of how anticipatory mechanisms can improve adaptive behavior and learning in cognitive systems. During the workshop it became clear that ant- ipations are involved in various cognitive processes that range from individual anticipatory mechanisms to social anticipatory behavior.
Adaptive Learning of Polynomial Networks : Genetic Programming, Backpropagation and Bayesian Methods
This book provides theoretical and practical knowledge for develop ment of algorithms that infer linear and nonlinear models. It offers a methodology for inductive learning of polynomial neural network mod els from data. The design of such tools contributes to better statistical data modelling when addressing tasks from various areas like system identification, chaotic time-series prediction, financial forecasting and data mining. The main claim is that the model identification process involves several equally important steps: finding the model structure, estimating the model weight parameters, and tuning these weights with respect to the adopted assumptions about the underlying data distrib ution. When the learning process is organized according to these steps, performed together one after the other or separately, one may expect to discover models that generalize well.
Learning in Economic Systems with Expectations Feedback
Recently economists have more and more focussed on scenarios in which agents' views of the world may be erroneous. These notes introduce the concept of perfect forecasting rules which provide best least-squares predictions along the evolution of an economic system.
