Book Details

NoIMG

Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370

Publication year: 2016

ISBN: 978-981-10-0379-0

Internet Resource: Please Login to download book


This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was used to define the search zone in the southern Indian Ocean. The book describes particle-filter based numerical calculation of the aircraft flight-path probability distribution and validates the method using data from several of the involved aircraft’s previous flights. Finally it is shown how the Reunion Island flaperon debris find affects the search probability distribution.


Subject: Engineering, Signal, Image and Speech Processing, Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Earth Sciences, Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics in Computer Science, Particle Filter, Satellite Communication System, Burst Timing Offset (BTO), Burst Frequency Offset (BFO), Aircraft Cruise Dynamics, Aircraft Maneuver Dynamics, Time Series Analysis, MH370 flight paths